All the voting has finished, the results no doubt lie somewhere in the midst of cyber space, and Lewis Bretts is thinking “thank God this is over”. But before the first results are released (tonight at about 10pm) and before Vision has its stunning Election Results Live Blog, I’m going to share with you my predictions for the night.
First up, York Sport: I’m pretty sure this is in the bag for Asfahani. He has a good support base and his campaign has been a cut above Newton’s.
Next on my agenda, it’s Academic Affairs. Inevitably as returning sabb, Humphrys will win it, but it won’t be without a fight. Humphrys has had his fair share of bad luck lately (what with the censure and all). The others contenders, won’t have as much bad press so they could prove a bit harder to fight off, but none of them have ran amazing campaigns. What I can almost guarantee is that Jason Rose won’t win. If we go by previous election results – he was once beaten by RON- he’s not exactly a strong player.
Welfare now and my money is on a fight to the finish between Laura Ona Borisovaite and Peter Warner-Medley, with Warner-Medley going on to win in the second round. Not sure why I think this one, but call it a hunch!
On to student activities now, and in my view it’s a two horse race between Scarlett and Hesselwood. Tom Flynn has run a tight ship with Scarlett’s campaign and Scarlett is a popular boy, so I really think he’s the one that’ll be standing on the podium tonight. However, his policies have come under fire this week, and such bad press will not help. Hesselwood could well benefit from this – but with a campaign seemingly kept inside the library, her chances aren’t as strong as they could be.
Democracy and Services is probably going to be the closest fight between Sam Daniels and Dan Walker. I see campus’ very own John Major (a.k.a Chris Etheridge) going down at the first hurdle, but then it will be close between the other two. If I had to decide, I’d pick Walker – with strong Goodricke support behind him, he will come out triumphant.
Last, and certainly not least is President. Well Nouse’s poll kind of said it, Vision’s poll indicated it, and now I’m going to jump on the bandwagon and predict Hutchings to come out as our next YUSU president. If he doesn’t win in the first round (which I guess he will), it might be a little less likely – Hutchings is just like Marmite, you either love his policies or you don’t, and he may not be able to scoop up the that many second preference votes. If it goes to a second round it’ll be a close fight between him, Ngwena, Levene and possibly Freckelton.
Well that’s it! I may be absolutely wrong, but they’re just predictions. Lets face it, it’s anybody’s game.
Pretty sure jason Rose wan’t beaten by RON, I think it was just very close.
Warner-Medley will easily win Welfare for sure.
I think Etheridge might have a surprising amount of support, but I agree, he won’t win.
Also, I think it highly unlikely that Hutchings will win after the first round because there are so many candidates it will be very hard for any of them to reach quoracy based on first choices.
Agree with the rest of it though.
I agree with the above about Hutchings winning in first round…with 6 candidates it highly unlikely there’ll be a winner after the first or even second round. I’m guessing a very close result between Ngwena, Levene and Hutchings with Ngwena coming out on top. It’s going to be interesting…
Rose was Ron’d along with three other people who were also running for ENTs reps. It’s not looking good for him.
Not sure that losing to RON once makes it predetermined for the future. I agree that Humphrys will beat me but I would bet money that I beat RON :P